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Exploring Alternative AI Stocks: A Deeper Dive Beyond Nvidia Exploring Alternative AI Stocks: A Deeper Dive Beyond Nvidia

One of the most transformative waves to sweep across the corporate world in the past three decades has been the rise of the internet. However, the emergence of the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is poised to rival its impact.

At its core, AI harnesses software and systems to handle tasks traditionally reserved for humans. The integration of machine learning, enabling software and systems to continuously “learn” and enhance their capabilities over time, has imbued AI with wide-ranging utility across industries.

Multiple humanoid robots typing on laptops while seated at a conference room table.

Image source: Getty Images.

The Ascendancy of Nvidia in the AI Realm

No company has witnessed a more pronounced boost from the AI surge than semiconductor giant Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA). Within a span of just over a year, Nvidia has emerged as a pivotal infrastructure player in high-compute data centers. Industry analysts at Citigroup project that Nvidia’s A100 and H100 graphics processing units (GPUs) are set to capture over 90% of the GPU market share in AI-accelerated data centers this year.

However, despite Nvidia’s ongoing production scaling efforts, its core competencies face escalating external competition, notably from Advanced Micro Devices and Intel. Moreover, the top four clients of Nvidia, constituting 40% of its sales, have embarked on developing their own AI-focused GPUs, potentially supplanting or complementing Nvidia’s data center framework. Even if Nvidia manages to retain a competitive edge over these in-house GPUs, forthcoming orders from these major clients might dwindle.

Moreover, Nvidia confronts the risk of diminishing its gross margin as production expands, particularly considering the significant upsurge in data-center sales during fiscal 2024, primarily driven by GPU scarcities. The shortage propelled prices of A100 and H100 chips to notable peaks. However, as Nvidia and its rivals bolster GPU output, industrywide scarcity and Nvidia’s pricing dominance may dwindle.

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Image source: Getty Images.

Exploring Affordable Alternatives to Nvidia: The Terrific Twosome

While traditional metrics like the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio suit conventional businesses, evaluating the “Magnificent Seven” proves more intricate. This elite group comprises some of Wall Street’s largest and most influential entities:

These esteemed firms boast formidable competitive edges, if not impregnable moats in their respective sectors. Renowned for channeling operational cash flow into high-growth endeavors, assessing Nvidia and its Magnificent Seven compatriots hinges on cash flow considerations.

As of the market close on March 22, Nvidia commanded a valuation exceeding 30 times the upcoming year’s projected cash flow, ranking as the priciest member within the Magnificent Seven. However, discerning investors can rejoice in the historically reasonable valuations of two AI-linked Magnificent Seven constituents ripe for savvy investment.

Alphabet: The Pragmatic Pick

Leading the charge among compelling prospects in lieu of Nvidia is Alphabet, the parent amalgam behind renowned search engine Google and video-streaming platform YouTube, among other ventures.

Wall Street anticipates Alphabet to churn out over $11 in cash flow per share in 2025. Priced at a March 22 close, this positions Alphabet at approximately 13.5 times forthcoming year’s cash flow. Not only does this metric stand at less than half the multiple Nvidia commands, but it also represents a near 24% discount compared to Alphabet’s trailing five-year price-to-cash-flow ratio.

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Unveiling the Financial Fortunes of Tech Giants in 2024

Alphabet: Google’s Dominance and Cloud Aspirations

The tech juggernaut Alphabet, etched around the prowess of Google, boasts a whopping 91.6% share of the global internet search market as of February, a position unrivaled for almost a decade. Basking in the glow of advertisers looking to reach target audiences, Google wields exceptional ad-pricing power as a result.

However, the real promise lies in Alphabet’s Google Cloud, a beacon of hope for cash-flow growth. Witnessing its maiden year of profits in 2023, Google Cloud, with its foray into artificial intelligence applications within the cloud, offers a path strewn with possibilities. The segment’s year-on-year double-digit sales growth points towards a lucrative future, painting a bullish outlook for Alphabet’s foray into cloud services.

Amazon: Beyond E-Commerce to Cloud Dominance

Amazon, often synonymous with online retail supremacy, painted an intriguing picture in 2024. Despite reaching a 52-week high, the company remains a bargain bet with a forward-year cash flow multiple of 13 – a 43% discount compared to historical averages. Surprisingly undercutting Nvidia in this aspect, Amazon’s allure goes beyond e-commerce.

A deeper dive reveals that Amazon’s cash flow dynamo lies in its auxiliary segments like Amazon Web Services (AWS), subscriptions, and ad services. AWS, with a commanding 31% share of global cloud-infrastructure services, stands tall in the cloud arena. Leveraging generative AI within its cloud ecosystem, AWS not only drives Amazon’s top line with nearly $97 billion in annual sales but also shoulders the bulk of the company’s operating income load.

Climbing the Tech Ladder with Cloud and AI

As the tech landscape evolves, riding on the coattails of cloud services and AI innovations emerges as the new norm for market leaders like Alphabet and Amazon. The pivot towards higher-margin cloud services not only promises sustained growth but also underscores the strategic foresight in diversifying revenue streams beyond traditional business models.

Given the transformative potential of cloud-infrastructure services infused with AI applications, Alphabet and Amazon are poised to tap into uncharted territories of scalability and profitability. Investors eyeing long-term gains could find solace in the robust foundations laid by these tech giants in the cloud computing domain.

As the tech titans navigate the ever-shifting tides of the digital economy, the symbiotic relationship between cloud services and AI innovations paves the way for sustained growth and market dominance in the years to come.