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Unveiling Market Dynamics: Nvidia, AMD, and TSMC in the Wake of Microsoft’s Decision


Microsoft’s Move towards AMD Chips

Microsoft’s foray into offering AMD chips through its Azure cloud computing service is not a slight on Nvidia but a strategic move in response to the escalating demand for GPUs in data centers where Nvidia’s dominance is palpable. The surge in popularity of Nvidia’s GPUs has inadvertently led to supply chain constraints for companies, opening up avenues for AMD to step in.

Both Nvidia and AMD are grappling with meeting the soaring demand for their GPUs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) as the world’s largest semiconductor manufacturer has confirmed that their advanced packaging capacity is fully booked through next year, reinforcing the frenzied competition for GPUs from Nvidia and AMD, both key clients of the company.

TSMC is racing to expand its production capacity aggressively, including plans for new fabrication facilities in multiple regions like Arizona, Japan, and Germany, to cater to the skyrocketing demand for high-performance computing chips including GPUs required for AI applications.

Ensuring Future Prospects in a Tight GPU Market

As the market grapples with GPU supply issues, this is a rather testing time for companies reliant on these high-performance computing chips. However, the forthcoming technology advancements and fabrication facility expansions by TSMC are poised to alleviate the bottleneck in GPU supply.

artist rendering of AI in a cloud above motherboard

Image source: Getty Images

Investing in Nvidia, AMD, and TSMC

Far from being a time to jettison Nvidia, this juncture presents a promising opportunity for investors to embrace both Nvidia and AMD stocks along with TSMC. The fervent demand for high-performance computing chips and GPUs outstrips the current supply capabilities.

Nvidia’s illustrious trajectory as the industry stalwart has been marked by unprecedented growth. The company’s CUDA software platform has cemented its GPUs as the preeminent standard even before the AI era, accentuating its potential to capitalize on the soaring demand. Most semiconductor firms, including Nvidia, rely on contract manufacturers like TSMC, emphasizing the crucial role these partners play in facilitating production.

On the other hand, AMD stands to gain significantly from the constrained GPU market, as evidenced by the upward revision of its full-year data center GPU revenue post its Q1 results. With Nvidia GPUs facing procurement challenges, AMD could carve a niche for itself as a formidable alternative in the market, buoyed by the industry’s aversion to vendor dependency.

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TSMC, serving as a linchpin in the ecosystem, is well-positioned to leverage the burgeoning GPU and chip demand precipitated by the AI evolution. Its strategic investments in additional fabrication facilities and transition to 2-nanometer technology augur well in navigating the burgeoning demands of the AI chip market.

The Investment Landscape

Comparing the valuations of the trio, TSMC stands out as the most attractively priced stock, trading at relatively low multiples including forward P/E and EV/EBITDA. Nvidia, with its robust growth, presents an inexpensive valuation despite trading at a premium compared to TSMC. While AMD may appear relatively pricey given its current valuations, its untapped potential in the AI chip realm hints at future possibilities.

Ranking the trio in order of preference, Nvidia emerges as the top choice, closely trailed by TSMC, followed by AMD. All three stocks harbor substantial long-term prospects for astute investors eyeing the high-performance computing territory.

Is Advanced Micro Devices a Viable Investment?

Before taking the plunge into Advanced Micro Devices stock, investors must weigh the insights provided by the Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team. While AMD wasn’t among the top picks, the vetted 10 stocks identified by them are envisioned to yield substantial returns in the foreseeable future. This echoes the potential unleashed by prudent investment decisions as exemplified by Nvidia’s inclusion in a similar list back in 2005, propelling staggering returns over time.

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John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors.