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Investing in the Future: The Current State of the “Magnificent Seven” Stocks

Recent turmoil in the tech industry has cast a shadow of doubt among investors, questioning the future viability of artificial intelligence (AI) investments and the sustainability of soaring valuations. With looming recession fears adding further pressure on the markets, the performance of the “Magnificent Seven” stocks has come under scrutiny, showcasing underwhelming results compared to the S&P 500’s 9% gains this year. While some heavyweights like Nvidia, Meta Platforms, and Alphabet have seen substantial growth, others like Microsoft and Tesla find themselves lagging behind.

1. Microsoft

Microsoft, a key player in the AI landscape, has made significant investments in AI technologies such as OpenAI and integrated AI features into its Office suite. Despite beating expectations in its recent quarterly report with a 15% year-over-year increase in sales totaling $64.7 billion, and adjusted earnings per share of $2.95, the tech giant still faces high investor expectations. Trading at 34 times its trailing profits, Microsoft needs to sustain significant growth to justify its valuation. The company’s success hinges on the performance of its new AI-powered PCs, which could serve as a catalyst for future business growth.

While Microsoft’s current 7% gains may not be lackluster, the company needs to ramp up its growth to maintain investor interest. With a strong foothold in PCs, gaming, and cloud computing, Microsoft remains a lucrative long-term investment option despite its seemingly high valuation. As the company continues to expand, its earnings will grow in tandem, which should enhance its valuation over time.

2. Tesla

As the worst-performing stock in the “Magnificent Seven,” Tesla has struggled with a 20% decline, exacerbated by weakening consumer demand for its electric vehicles (EVs) due to economic challenges and heightened competition. Despite implementing price reductions in response to market pressures, Tesla’s profit margins remain a concern. The company’s inability to maintain high margins threatens its bottom line, consequently impacting its stock price, which currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 55.

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Both Tesla’s profit margins and growth rates have shown a downward trend in recent quarters, sounding alarm bells for investors. With intensifying competition and murky growth prospects, Tesla’s future as a promising investment remains uncertain, warranting caution among potential buyers at present.

TSLA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) Chart

TSLA Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth) data by YCharts

While Tesla’s future remains uncertain, opportunities lie elsewhere. Analysts at the Motley Fool Stock Advisor have identified promising stock options that offer substantial returns. Considering past success stories like Nvidia, which generated significant returns for investors, exploring these alternative investment avenues may prove more beneficial than risking capital on Tesla’s unpredictable performance.

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*Stock Advisor returns as of August 6, 2024