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Assessing the Viability of Nvidia’s Stock after an Impressive Rally Is Nvidia Still a Viable Investment After Its Stratospheric 2023 Rally?

Shares of Nvidia Corp. NVDA have been on a tear since the beginning of 2023, reflecting investor confidence in the chipmaker’s AI capabilities. Despite this upward trend, a fund manager believes the stock is attractively valued given its growth potential.

Marking a New High

What Happened: Nvidia reached a new high on Tuesday, rallying 1.70% during the kickoff of the 2024 Consumer Electronics Show, closing at $531.40. The stock outperformed the Nasdaq 100 Index (up 0.17%) and the iShares Semiconductor ETF SOXX, which remained nearly flat.

This rally contributed to Nvidia’s impressive gain of 264% since 2023.

Chart courtesy of Benzinga

Insight from a Fund Manager

Gary Black,Future Fund managing partner and co-founder, said that investors are recognizing Nvidia’s continued affordability. Currently trading at 26.5 times the consensus adjusted earnings per share estimate for 2024, the company is expected to achieve a compounded annual growth rate of 28% in earnings per share between 2024 and 2028. Examining the reasons for this outperformance, Black highlighted Nvidia’s best-in-class products, excellent execution, a robust management team, drama-free environment, and low headline risk.

Significance of the Surge

Why It’s Important: Despite the impressive surge, analysts foresee additional upside for the stock. The average 12-month analysts’ price target is $662.39, indicating approximately 25% potential upside from the current levels, according to TipRanks.

Nvidia’s guidance for the fourth quarter predicts revenue of $20 billion, plus or minus 2%. If the company achieves this target, it is poised to report year-over-year revenue growth of over 230%. Notably, this positive outlook comes despite the U.S. ban on exporting certain high-performance chips to China, a crucial market for Nvidia.

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The Santa Clara, California-based chipmaker has found success with its AI accelerator chipsets, experiencing strong demand amid the popularity of generative AI software and applications.