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Nvidia Second Quarter Earnings Analysis
Nvidia’s Q2 Performance: Fireside Chat on Blackwell Update, Buyback, and Margins


Nvidia Surpasses Wall Street Predictions

Despite towering expectations, Nvidia, the titan of chip manufacturers and America’s second-largest company, has soared above Wall Street’s anticipations. Revenues skyrocketed to a staggering $30.05 billion from $13.51 billion the previous year, outshining the estimated $28.86 billion. Data center revenue reached $26.3 billion compared to $10.32 billion in the same quarter of 2023. Moreover, the company, with a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), posted an adjusted EPS of $0.68, trumping Zacks Consensus Estimates for the seventh consecutive quarter.

The Blackwell Saga Unfolds

In a dramatic turn of events, Nvidia faced a setback with its newest chip, Blackwell. This delay, along with margin pressures, blemished an otherwise promising quarter.

Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, reflected on Nvidia’s earnings, highlighting the impact of Blackwell’s postponement and the looming “Osborne Effect.” The term, originating from the 1980s computer industry, underscores how premature product announcements can dent sales as consumers hold out for the latest release.

Despite the chip hiccup, Nvidia assured investors that Blackwell samples were dispatched in Q2, with production set to ramp up in Q4. Management projects substantial Blackwell revenue in the near future, allaying concerns to a certain extent.

Nvidia Launches $50 Billion Buyback Initiative

Eyeing proactive measures, Nvidia unveiled a $50 billion buyback program, aiming to capitalize on its substantial cash reserves.

Similar to Apple’s strategic moves, share repurchases can evoke optimism by curbing outstanding shares, enhancing earnings per share, and showcasing management’s confidence in the company’s trajectory.

Nvidia’s Profit Margins Encounter Decline

Nvidia grappled with its first profit margin descent in two years, slipping to 55% from a historical high of 57% in Q1. Concerns loom over prospects as the CFO attributed this decline to inventory provisions tied to Blackwell.

The dip in margins coupled with intensified competition from Advanced Micro Devices poses challenges to Nvidia’s dominance. However, it’s crucial to note that one quarter doesn’t define a trend.

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Final Thoughts

Nvidia’s stellar performance exceeded market projections once again, with a promising outlook despite the Blackwell blip. While the margin slowdown raises a flag, it’s essential for Nvidia stakeholders to monitor this aspect closely in the upcoming quarters.






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